Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Suzuki 49.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 62.0%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.6%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 63.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
3
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
50.3% (1,075)
-4.4%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
49.3% (219)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
43.1% (116)
-20.9%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Home
47.2% (193)
53.6% (711)
Away
42.9% (259)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
P1
49.0%
48.5%
P2
45.7%
51.7%
P3
38.8%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
41.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |