Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 79.8%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 56.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 71.6%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Last 5: Mittelstadt 3-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
52.4% (981)
-7.7%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
50.7% (304)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
36.4% (33)
+3.6%
On power play, Suzuki has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Home
46.0% (491)
53.2% (645)
Away
42.4% (512)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
P1
44.0%
48.9%
P2
46.4%
51.5%
P3
41.9%
54.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |