Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 74.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 75.6%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 81.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
7
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
5
2
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
6
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
51.3% (1,096)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
59.9% (157)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
56.9% (58)
-6.9%
On power play, Suzuki has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Home
47.7% (583)
54.2% (638)
Away
46.4% (541)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
P1
50.0%
51.5%
P2
46.2%
53.3%
P3
45.5%
52.4%
OT
25.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:43 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 06:47 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |