Casey Mittelstadt vs Reese Johnson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Johnson 52.1% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 76.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 75.9%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.6%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Mittelstadt
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Mittelstadt
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
55.4% (186)
-10.1%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
100.0% (3)
-50.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
37.8% (37)
+2.8%
On power play, Johnson has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Mittelstadt is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Johnson is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Johnson
Home
45.1% (366)
51.6% (95)
Away
46.8% (370)
54.2% (131)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Johnson
P1
41.1%
46.7%
P2
51.1%
50.5%
P3
45.9%
58.9%
Final 5 min
44.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |