Casey Mittelstadt vs Reese Johnson

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Reese Johnson holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Johnson 51.5% (-6.2%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Johnson 55.2%
Defensive zone Johnson 96.0%
Neutral zone Johnson 87.1%
Result Reese Johnson favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Mittelstadt Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 1 (8 meetings)
7
1
Mittelstadt Johnson
Last 8: Mittelstadt 7-1 Johnson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
6
0
Mittelstadt Johnson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Mittelstadt Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt Johnson
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
53.5% (434)
-8.5%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
80.0% (5)
-30.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
40.7% (81)
-3.2%
On power play, Johnson has a +30.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Johnson
Home
46.7% (2,316)
50.8% (252)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
52.6% (268)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Johnson
P1
46.8%
52.1%
P2
46.1%
47.4%
P3
44.0%
56.4%
OT
36.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%
50.5%
45.5%
Johnson
54.0%
51.0%
51.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 18, 2024 3 00:46 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Jan 17, 2023 3 05:58 Defensive Reese Johnson
Jan 17, 2023 2 03:10 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Apr 29, 2022 3 16:33 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Apr 29, 2022 2 18:13 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Mar 28, 2022 3 17:20 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Mar 28, 2022 3 10:56 Neutral Casey Mittelstadt
Mar 28, 2022 1 08:19 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt