Casey Mittelstadt vs Reese Johnson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Johnson 50.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 74.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 64.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Mittelstadt
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
56.9% (51)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
43.3% (30)
+6.7%
On even strength, Johnson has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Johnson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Johnson
Home
47.7% (583)
56.3% (32)
Away
46.4% (541)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Johnson
P1
50.0%
55.6%
P2
46.2%
48.0%
P3
45.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |