Casey Mittelstadt vs Ryan Hartman
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 59.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Hartman 43.6% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 74.7%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 54.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
42.4% (618)
+9.2%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
45.9% (61)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.0% (15)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Mittelstadt is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hartman is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Home
60.7% (89)
41.9% (372)
Away
43.1% (65)
43.5% (322)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hartman
P1
46.3%
41.3%
P2
52.9%
40.8%
P3
58.6%
45.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |