Casey Mittelstadt vs Ryan Hartman
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Hartman 45.5% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 65.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
44.8% (830)
+5.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
47.8% (92)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
37.5% (16)
+62.5%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Home
59.3% (91)
45.0% (515)
Away
42.5% (80)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hartman
P1
48.8%
46.5%
P2
49.1%
39.9%
P3
56.7%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |