Casey Mittelstadt vs Ryan Hartman
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 44.8%). Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Hartman 45.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 58.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 54.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 52.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Last 6: Mittelstadt 4-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
44.8% (936)
+1.1%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
49.4% (154)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
33.3% (54)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Home
47.2% (193)
47.4% (568)
Away
42.9% (259)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hartman
P1
49.0%
47.2%
P2
45.7%
43.4%
P3
38.8%
43.8%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
41.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 12:22 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |