Casey Mittelstadt vs Ryan Hartman
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.1% vs 47.0%). Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Hartman 47.3% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 66.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 56.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 50.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
7
Mittelstadt
Hartman
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
2
Mittelstadt
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
47.1% (649)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
47.1% (68)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
45.2% (73)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Home
47.7% (583)
46.5% (361)
Away
46.4% (541)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hartman
P1
50.0%
45.1%
P2
46.2%
44.4%
P3
45.5%
50.9%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |