Casey Mittelstadt vs Ryan Johansen
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Johansen 52.4% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 51.1%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 51.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 63.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Mittelstadt
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
49.4% (1,010)
-3.5%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
62.3% (236)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
67.2% (67)
-45.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Home
47.2% (193)
54.7% (655)
Away
42.9% (259)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Johansen
P1
49.0%
52.2%
P2
45.7%
50.7%
P3
38.8%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
41.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |