Casey Mittelstadt vs Ryan Johansen
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Johansen 52.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 74.9%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.6%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 62.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Mittelstadt
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
51.9% (597)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
57.9% (133)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
54.3% (81)
-4.3%
On power play, Johansen has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Home
47.7% (583)
55.8% (387)
Away
46.4% (541)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Johansen
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
46.2%
56.2%
P3
45.5%
52.6%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |