Casey Mittelstadt vs Ryan Johansen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Johansen 53.3% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 79.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 88.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 83.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Last 10: Mittelstadt 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
5
Mittelstadt
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
6
Mittelstadt
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Mittelstadt
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
53.1% (11,017)
-8.1%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
56.2% (2,163)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
50.5% (978)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Home
46.7% (2,316)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Johansen
P1
46.8%
53.2%
P2
46.1%
53.9%
P3
44.0%
52.8%
OT
36.6%
58.2%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |