Casey Mittelstadt vs Sean Monahan
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Monahan 54.5% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 66.3%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 53.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Last 10: Mittelstadt 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Mittelstadt
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Mittelstadt
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
57.1% (871)
-10.7%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
53.1% (262)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
44.6% (139)
+5.4%
On even strength, Monahan has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Home
47.7% (583)
55.3% (644)
Away
46.4% (541)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Monahan
P1
50.0%
53.9%
P2
46.2%
55.3%
P3
45.5%
54.4%
OT
25.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |