Casey Mittelstadt vs Sean Monahan

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sean Monahan holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Monahan 52.4% (-8.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Mittelstadt 61.8%
Defensive zone Mittelstadt 55.2%
Neutral zone Mittelstadt 55.4%
Result Casey Mittelstadt favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Mittelstadt Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 4 (7 meetings)
3
4
Mittelstadt Monahan
Last 7: Mittelstadt 3-4 Monahan

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Mittelstadt Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt Monahan
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
52.4% (853)
-7.7%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
58.6% (174)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
46.5% (144)
-6.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +18.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Home
46.0% (491)
53.4% (624)
Away
42.4% (512)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Monahan
P1
44.0%
53.7%
P2
46.4%
52.4%
P3
41.9%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
39.3%
49.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%
50.5%
44.2%
Monahan
54.0%
52.5%
52.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 12, 2024 3 18:06 Defensive Sean Monahan
Oct 12, 2024 3 00:55 Neutral Casey Mittelstadt
Oct 12, 2024 2 03:56 Defensive Sean Monahan
Oct 12, 2024 2 03:42 Neutral Sean Monahan
Oct 12, 2024 2 03:31 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Oct 12, 2024 2 00:59 Offensive Sean Monahan
Oct 12, 2024 1 18:36 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt