Casey Mittelstadt vs Sean Monahan
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Monahan 52.8% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 56.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Mittelstadt
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
53.2% (823)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
55.3% (159)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.4% (95)
+51.6%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Home
59.3% (91)
54.6% (529)
Away
42.5% (80)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Monahan
P1
48.8%
49.0%
P2
49.1%
55.4%
P3
56.7%
53.6%
OT
33.3%
61.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%