Casey Mittelstadt vs Tage Thompson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 59.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Thompson 46.5% (+7.3%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 53.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 60.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Mittelstadt
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
46.1% (484)
+5.5%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
48.4% (91)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
30.0% (20)
+70.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +70.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Mittelstadt is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Thompson is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Thompson
Home
60.7% (89)
47.9% (313)
Away
43.1% (65)
43.6% (282)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Thompson
P1
46.3%
50.5%
P2
52.9%
44.6%
P3
58.6%
42.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%