Casey Mittelstadt vs Tage Thompson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Thompson 43.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 63.7%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 66.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 60.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Mittelstadt
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Mittelstadt
Thompson
Last 5: Mittelstadt 5-0 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
41.9% (597)
+2.8%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
50.5% (95)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
25.0% (12)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Thompson
Home
46.0% (491)
47.1% (367)
Away
42.4% (512)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Thompson
P1
44.0%
44.2%
P2
46.4%
41.6%
P3
41.9%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |