Casey Mittelstadt vs Tage Thompson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Thompson 42.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 83.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 62.6%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 65.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Mittelstadt
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Mittelstadt
Thompson
Last 5: Mittelstadt 5-0 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
42.9% (3,521)
+2.1%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
46.8% (372)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
33.6% (265)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Thompson
Home
46.7% (2,316)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Thompson
P1
46.8%
44.5%
P2
46.1%
43.6%
P3
44.0%
40.2%
OT
36.6%
36.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |