Casey Mittelstadt vs Tage Thompson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Thompson 45.3% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 50.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 56.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Mittelstadt
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
44.9% (642)
+5.5%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
47.9% (94)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (33)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Thompson
Home
59.3% (91)
46.0% (391)
Away
42.5% (80)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Thompson
P1
48.8%
48.1%
P2
49.1%
44.9%
P3
56.7%
41.2%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%