Casey Mittelstadt vs Trent Frederic
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Frederic 46.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 66.5%
Defensive zone
Frederic 60.9%
Neutral zone
Frederic 56.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Last 7: Mittelstadt 5-2 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Frederic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Mittelstadt
Frederic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
Frederic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
45.8% (262)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
57.1% (7)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
36.4% (22)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Frederic is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Home
47.7% (583)
44.1% (152)
Away
46.4% (541)
46.8% (139)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Frederic
P1
50.0%
41.7%
P2
46.2%
48.9%
P3
45.5%
45.6%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |