Casey Mittelstadt vs Trent Frederic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Frederic 46.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 51.9%
Defensive zone
Frederic 74.8%
Neutral zone
Frederic 61.9%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Last 9: Mittelstadt 6-3 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Mittelstadt
Frederic
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Mittelstadt
Frederic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
0
Mittelstadt
Frederic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
46.3% (909)
-1.3%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
63.3% (30)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
35.5% (31)
+2.0%
On power play, Frederic has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Frederic is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Home
46.7% (2,316)
47.6% (485)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
45.4% (485)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Frederic
P1
46.8%
41.9%
P2
46.1%
48.0%
P3
44.0%
49.8%
OT
36.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |