Casey Mittelstadt vs Trent Frederic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Frederic 54.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 52.3%
Defensive zone
Frederic 73.7%
Neutral zone
Frederic 71.7%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
57.6% (151)
-7.2%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
66.7% (3)
-11.9%
On power play, Frederic has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Frederic is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Home
59.3% (91)
55.6% (81)
Away
42.5% (80)
60.3% (73)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Frederic
P1
48.8%
57.7%
P2
49.1%
54.3%
P3
56.7%
60.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |