Chandler Stephenson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.1% vs 57.2%). Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Stephenson wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Pageau 56.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 86.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 65.4%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 56.7%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Stephenson
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Stephenson
Pageau
Last 10: Stephenson 7-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
7
1
Stephenson
Pageau
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
Stephenson
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
58.8% (889)
-1.1%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
58.2% (182)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
48.6% (185)
-1.1%
On power play, Stephenson has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Stephenson is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (486).
Stephenson shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Pageau
Home
56.2% (589)
59.0% (595)
Away
60.0% (573)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Stephenson
Pageau
P1
58.3%
58.9%
P2
58.3%
57.9%
P3
57.9%
55.6%
OT
54.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |