Chandler Stephenson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Pageau 55.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 66.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 63.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Stephenson
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Stephenson
Pageau
Last 9: Stephenson 6-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
Stephenson
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
57.1% (905)
-5.5%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
55.2% (116)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
48.0% (204)
-3.7%
On power play, Stephenson has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Stephenson is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Stephenson shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Pageau
Home
52.5% (499)
57.0% (618)
Away
52.6% (551)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Stephenson
Pageau
P1
50.2%
54.4%
P2
55.7%
61.0%
P3
50.9%
51.0%
OT
63.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |