Chandler Stephenson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Pageau 58.7% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 71.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 71.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 70.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Stephenson
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stephenson
Pageau
Last 7: Stephenson 5-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
1
Stephenson
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
59.6% (711)
-8.4%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
64.0% (114)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
56.4% (163)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Stephenson is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stephenson shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Pageau
Home
52.2% (751)
59.3% (506)
Away
51.0% (723)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Stephenson
Pageau
P1
50.4%
56.8%
P2
51.5%
64.4%
P3
53.3%
56.9%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |