Chandler Stephenson vs Kevin Hayes
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Hayes 49.5% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 51.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Stephenson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Stephenson
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Stephenson
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
48.5% (557)
+9.2%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
53.3% (107)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
58.3% (12)
-10.8%
On power play, Stephenson has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Hayes
Home
56.2% (589)
50.8% (313)
Away
60.0% (573)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Stephenson
Hayes
P1
58.3%
52.3%
P2
58.3%
47.7%
P3
57.9%
48.4%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |