Chandler Stephenson vs Kevin Hayes

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.1%). Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stephenson 51.5% vs Hayes 51.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Stephenson 55.4%
Defensive zone Stephenson 67.4%
Neutral zone Stephenson 63.1%
Result Chandler Stephenson favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Stephenson Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 2 (8 meetings)
6
2
Stephenson Hayes
Last 8: Stephenson 6-2 Hayes

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
1
Stephenson Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson Hayes
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stephenson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
51.6% (386)
-0.4%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
53.2% (47)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
60.0% (20)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +12.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Hayes
Home
52.2% (751)
50.5% (200)
Away
51.0% (723)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Stephenson
Hayes
P1
50.4%
58.8%
P2
51.5%
49.3%
P3
53.3%
48.0%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%
52.5%
51.6%
Hayes
30.0%
42.5%
52.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 25, 2025 3 13:06 Neutral Kevin Hayes
Jan 25, 2025 3 04:05 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Jan 25, 2025 3 00:58 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Jan 25, 2025 2 09:07 Offensive Chandler Stephenson
Jan 25, 2025 2 04:34 Neutral Chandler Stephenson
Jan 25, 2025 2 01:18 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Jan 14, 2025 1 12:14 Defensive Kevin Hayes
Jan 14, 2025 1 08:32 Neutral Chandler Stephenson