Chandler Stephenson vs Kevin Hayes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Hayes 47.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 19-10 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 89.6%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 83.0%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 82.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Stephenson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
10
(29 meetings)
19
10
Stephenson
Hayes
Last 10: Stephenson 7-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
8
2
Stephenson
Hayes
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
8
5
Stephenson
Hayes
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Stephenson
Hayes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
47.5% (6,708)
+4.4%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
51.7% (702)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
45.3% (697)
+0.4%
On power play, Stephenson has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Hayes
Home
52.6% (3,827)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Stephenson
Hayes
P1
51.6%
47.5%
P2
52.4%
47.6%
P3
52.8%
47.9%
OT
57.7%
54.1%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:34 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:32 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |