Chandler Stephenson vs Mathew Barzal
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +22.5% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Barzal 39.3% (+22.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 63.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 84.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 77.1%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Stephenson
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stephenson
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
35.0% (283)
+22.7%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
55.6% (9)
+8.6%
On even strength, Stephenson has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Stephenson is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (486).
Stephenson shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Barzal
Home
56.2% (589)
37.0% (138)
Away
60.0% (573)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Stephenson
Barzal
P1
58.3%
29.5%
P2
58.3%
44.5%
P3
57.9%
31.8%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |