Chandler Stephenson vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Barzal 41.4% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 86.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 97.4%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 92.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Stephenson
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Stephenson
Barzal
Last 10: Stephenson 7-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
2
Stephenson
Barzal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
6
1
Stephenson
Barzal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
1
Stephenson
Barzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
40.4% (463)
+11.7%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
34.2% (38)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
28.6% (7)
+11.3%
On power play, Stephenson has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Stephenson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (475).
Stephenson shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Barzal
Home
53.1% (672)
38.1% (244)
Away
51.1% (554)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Stephenson
Barzal
P1
54.6%
46.6%
P2
51.3%
35.7%
P3
51.2%
37.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |