Chandler Stephenson vs Mathew Barzal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Barzal 42.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 20-6 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 88.9%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 95.4%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 94.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 92.5%
92.5%
7.5%
Stephenson
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
6
(26 meetings)
20
6
Stephenson
Barzal
Last 10: Stephenson 7-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
7
4
Stephenson
Barzal
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
9
1
Stephenson
Barzal
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
4
1
Stephenson
Barzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,929)
41.9% (3,585)
+10.0%
Power Play
59.9% (1,131)
43.4% (205)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (844)
42.3% (26)
+3.2%
On power play, Stephenson has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Stephenson is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,745).
Stephenson shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,712).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Barzal
Home
52.5% (3,920)
43.1% (1,914)
Away
52.2% (3,984)
40.9% (1,902)
By Period
Stephenson
Barzal
P1
51.9%
40.4%
P2
52.3%
44.6%
P3
52.7%
41.1%
OT
56.9%
27.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Barzal
40.0%▼
43.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |