Chandler Stephenson vs Matt Duchene
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 46.1% vs Duchene 55.3% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 88.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 54.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 88.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Stephenson
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Stephenson
Duchene
Last 6: Stephenson 5-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (446)
56.0% (579)
-10.7%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
59.3% (108)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
25.0% (8)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Stephenson is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Stephenson shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Duchene
Home
44.7% (262)
54.9% (375)
Away
46.0% (252)
57.5% (320)
By Period
Stephenson
Duchene
P1
46.1%
58.3%
P2
43.0%
56.7%
P3
46.2%
53.1%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
41.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
45.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |