Chandler Stephenson vs Matt Duchene
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.4%). Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Duchene 52.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 60.6%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 57.9%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 51.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Stephenson
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Stephenson
Duchene
Last 9: Stephenson 3-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Stephenson
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
1
Stephenson
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Stephenson
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
53.0% (723)
-1.8%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
49.5% (101)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
43.8% (16)
+3.9%
On power play, Stephenson has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Duchene
Home
52.2% (751)
54.9% (408)
Away
51.0% (723)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Stephenson
Duchene
P1
50.4%
52.5%
P2
51.5%
51.7%
P3
53.3%
53.6%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |