Chandler Stephenson vs Matt Duchene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Duchene 54.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 58.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 64.3%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 59.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Stephenson
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
18
(29 meetings)
11
18
Stephenson
Duchene
Last 10: Stephenson 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
7
Stephenson
Duchene
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
8
6
Stephenson
Duchene
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
5
Stephenson
Duchene
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
53.9% (10,396)
-2.0%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
56.9% (1,665)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
49.1% (468)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Duchene
Home
52.6% (3,827)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Stephenson
Duchene
P1
51.6%
54.5%
P2
52.4%
54.5%
P3
52.8%
53.4%
OT
57.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |