Chandler Stephenson vs Matt Duchene
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Duchene 55.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 58.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 53.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Stephenson
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stephenson
Duchene
Last 5: Stephenson 2-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Stephenson
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
56.5% (566)
-4.9%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
61.3% (62)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
22.2% (9)
+22.1%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Duchene
Home
52.5% (499)
56.6% (318)
Away
52.6% (551)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Stephenson
Duchene
P1
50.2%
57.2%
P2
55.7%
55.1%
P3
50.9%
55.6%
OT
63.6%
81.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |