Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Domi 53.3% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 68.7%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 55.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 70.3%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Stephenson
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Stephenson
Domi
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Stephenson
Domi
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
2
Stephenson
Domi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
1
Stephenson
Domi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
53.8% (847)
+3.9%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
52.1% (96)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
57.1% (7)
-9.6%
On power play, Stephenson has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Domi
Home
56.2% (589)
53.9% (445)
Away
60.0% (573)
53.5% (505)
By Period
Stephenson
Domi
P1
58.3%
51.4%
P2
58.3%
55.3%
P3
57.9%
54.7%
OT
54.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
57.7%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | OT | 04:06 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Max Domi |