Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Domi 50.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 57.0%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 59.2%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 58.0%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Stephenson
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stephenson
Domi
Last 5: Stephenson 3-2 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
2
Stephenson
Domi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
49.7% (394)
+1.9%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
51.7% (58)
+11.0%
On power play, Stephenson has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Domi is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Domi
Home
52.5% (499)
53.2% (235)
Away
52.6% (551)
46.5% (217)
By Period
Stephenson
Domi
P1
50.2%
54.4%
P2
55.7%
46.6%
P3
50.9%
49.6%
OT
63.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |