Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Domi 50.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 51.7%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 72.2%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 54.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Stephenson
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stephenson
Domi
Last 6: Stephenson 4-2 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Stephenson
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
50.4% (254)
+1.7%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
59.3% (27)
+2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Domi
Home
53.1% (672)
50.0% (174)
Away
51.1% (554)
53.3% (107)
By Period
Stephenson
Domi
P1
54.6%
45.7%
P2
51.3%
51.5%
P3
51.2%
57.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |