Chandler Stephenson vs Nick Schmaltz
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 50.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 53.3%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 50.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
2
Stephenson
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
38.5% (309)
+13.1%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
53.2% (79)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
25.0% (12)
+19.3%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Stephenson is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Stephenson shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Home
52.5% (499)
38.0% (184)
Away
52.6% (551)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Stephenson
Schmaltz
P1
50.2%
40.3%
P2
55.7%
39.9%
P3
50.9%
40.7%
OT
63.6%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |