Chandler Stephenson vs Nick Schmaltz
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 64.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 63.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Last 5: Stephenson 1-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
5
Stephenson
Schmaltz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
48.1% (268)
+3.1%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
50.5% (91)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
58.8% (17)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Stephenson is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stephenson shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Home
52.2% (751)
49.0% (206)
Away
51.0% (723)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Stephenson
Schmaltz
P1
50.4%
53.6%
P2
51.5%
46.2%
P3
53.3%
50.4%
OT
40.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
51.3%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |