Chandler Stephenson vs Nick Schmaltz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 56.1%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 81.8%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 69.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
17
(36 meetings)
19
17
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
13
Stephenson
Schmaltz
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
9
0
Stephenson
Schmaltz
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
7
4
Stephenson
Schmaltz
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
41.2% (3,399)
+10.7%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
47.1% (649)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
47.8% (134)
-2.1%
On power play, Stephenson has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Stephenson is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,650).
Stephenson shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Home
52.6% (3,827)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Stephenson
Schmaltz
P1
51.6%
41.1%
P2
52.4%
42.9%
P3
52.8%
43.0%
OT
57.7%
42.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |