Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan Donato
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Donato 48.1% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 55.1%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 81.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 64.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Stephenson
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stephenson
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
48.1% (258)
+4.0%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
43.2% (37)
+18.8%
On power play, Stephenson has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Donato is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Donato
Home
53.1% (672)
45.8% (142)
Away
51.1% (554)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Stephenson
Donato
P1
54.6%
48.1%
P2
51.3%
46.6%
P3
51.2%
46.8%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |