Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan Donato
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Donato 46.0% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 57.9%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 50.3%
Neutral zone
Donato 53.0%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Stephenson
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Stephenson
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Stephenson
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
44.4% (180)
+7.2%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
43.2% (37)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
40.0% (5)
+4.3%
On power play, Stephenson has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Donato is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Donato
Home
52.5% (499)
45.4% (97)
Away
52.6% (551)
43.2% (125)
By Period
Stephenson
Donato
P1
50.2%
36.2%
P2
55.7%
48.6%
P3
50.9%
46.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |