Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan Donato
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Donato 45.3% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 88.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 91.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 87.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Stephenson
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stephenson
Donato
Last 5: Stephenson 4-1 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
42.9% (140)
+14.8%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
28.6% (7)
+35.6%
On power play, Stephenson has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Donato is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Donato
Home
56.2% (589)
44.6% (83)
Away
60.0% (573)
39.1% (64)
By Period
Stephenson
Donato
P1
58.3%
53.2%
P2
58.3%
33.3%
P3
57.9%
41.3%
Final 5 min
57.7%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |