Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan Donato
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Donato 45.4% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 55.5%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 81.2%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 72.3%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Stephenson
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stephenson
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Donato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
43.5% (400)
+7.7%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
48.7% (119)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
33.3% (6)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Donato
Home
52.2% (751)
50.2% (279)
Away
51.0% (723)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Stephenson
Donato
P1
50.4%
44.6%
P2
51.5%
46.6%
P3
53.3%
42.0%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |