Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.5% vs Coyle 46.4% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 55.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 71.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 76.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Kempe
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kempe
Coyle
Last 8: Kempe 5-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
0
Kempe
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kempe
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (671)
46.3% (603)
-3.7%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
50.9% (55)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
34.1% (44)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Kempe is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (252).
Kempe shoots left. Coyle is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Kempe
Coyle
Home
43.6% (369)
45.6% (373)
Away
41.6% (370)
46.2% (329)
By Period
Kempe
Coyle
P1
40.0%
45.9%
P2
44.3%
46.4%
P3
43.6%
45.5%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
42.6%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |