Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Coyle 46.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 69.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 82.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 69.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Horvat
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Horvat
Coyle
Last 8: Horvat 6-2 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Coyle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
46.6% (663)
+5.5%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
35.6% (45)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
90.0% (10)
-45.1%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Horvat is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Horvat shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Horvat
Coyle
Home
53.1% (420)
50.4% (367)
Away
49.8% (428)
42.5% (351)
By Period
Horvat
Coyle
P1
52.4%
46.8%
P2
49.3%
47.9%
P3
52.8%
45.9%
OT
42.9%
14.3%
Final 5 min
53.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |