Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Stepan 46.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 51.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 69.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 68.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Coyle
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Coyle
Stepan
Last 10: Coyle 7-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
2
Coyle
Stepan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
3
Coyle
Stepan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
1
Coyle
Stepan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
46.5% (10,204)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
48.8% (1,593)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
44.2% (1,368)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stepan
Home
49.8% (4,835)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Coyle
Stepan
P1
49.4%
47.5%
P2
48.3%
45.6%
P3
48.8%
46.8%
OT
49.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
48.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 8, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |