Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Larkin 52.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 60.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 57.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Coyle
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Coyle
Larkin
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
1
Coyle
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
5
Coyle
Larkin
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
3
Coyle
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
51.8% (903)
-1.2%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
56.0% (225)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
47.4% (76)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Coyle
Larkin
Home
51.8% (517)
55.6% (662)
Away
46.7% (583)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Coyle
Larkin
P1
49.2%
49.9%
P2
52.8%
52.7%
P3
44.8%
53.0%
OT
54.5%
68.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:19 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |